Tianchen (Hugo) Zhao
Research
Working Paper
Dinner Table Alphas
with Sean Cao (Maryland), Huaizhi Chen (UT Dallas), and Lauren Cohen (Harvard)
Best Paper Award, Edinburgh Corporate Finance Conference 2026
Read paper on SSRN ↗Abstract
We show that household linkages, formed primarily of spousal employment ties, are important in explaining asset managers' skills and their portfolio choices. Mutual fund managers with spouses that work at the executive and C-suite levels obtain monthly gross returns of up to 0.32% above asset managers with non-executive spouses. This effect is driven largely by managers' quarterly stock trades in the industries where their spouses are employed. The spouse-industry stocks bought by executive-spouse-linked managers outperform those bought by the nonexecutive-spouse-linked managers by a large and significant 4.30% in the next quarter. Symmetrically, the stocks sold by executive-spouse linked managers underperform those sold by the nonexecutive-spouse-linked managers by a significant -4.33% in the following quarter. These patterns suggest that spousal relationships facilitate fund managers' comprehension of industry-level information. The linked fund managers' spouse-industry trades predict subsequent earnings surprises and firm level news. Overall, our results highlight the importance of household links to information production in the asset management industry.
Presentations
AFA 2027 (scheduled), Alpine Finance Summit 2026^, ASU Sonoran Winter Finance Conference 2026^, CICF 2026, Clemson Finance Research Conference 2026^, Conference on Financial Economics and Accounting 2026 (scheduled), Edinburgh Corporate Finance Conference 2026^, Esade Spring Workshop 2026^, Finance Business Analytics Conference 2026^, Finance and Accounting Annual Research Symposium 2026^, FIRS 2026^, International Behavioural Finance Conference 2026 (scheduled), Red Rock Finance Conference 2026^ (scheduled), SFS Cavalcade North America 2026, VSB Mid-Atlantic Research Conference (MARC) in Finance 2026^, Nanyang Technological University^, University of New Hampshire^
Work in Progress
The Fiscal Spillovers of Firm Uncertainty: Tax Structure and State Finances
Government Data and Financing: Insights from Internal Controls
with Sean Cao (Maryland) and Anya Nakhmurina (Yale)
PhD Second-Year Summer Paper
New Draft Coming Soon!
Abstract
We investigate the economic consequences of data breaches on U.S. local governments. Using a stacked difference-in-differences design, we find that breached municipalities experience an increase in municipal bond yield spreads. The effect is concentrated in municipalities with pre-existing weaknesses in general or information system-specific internal controls, suggesting that well-maintained internal controls may mitigate the adverse financing impact of a data breach within government organizations. However, despite such benefits, we find little evidence of internal control improvements among breached municipalities with weak controls. Instead, these municipalities reduce both total expenditures and administrative spending that includes internal control functions in the years after a breach. Overall, our results raise concerns about local governments’ data breach preparedness, which can potentially compromise public service provision.
Presentations
FARS Midyear Meeting 2026, Eastern FA 2025, Hanyang Accounting Research Symposium 2025*, LBS Transatlantic Doctoral Conference 2025, SGF 2025, Australasian Finance and Banking Conference 2024, Inter-Finance PhD Seminar 2024, Sydney Banking and Financial Stability Conference 2024, University of Macau^, University of Maryland
What Drives the Dynamics of CSR Returns
with Renxuan Wang (CEIBS), Russ Wermers (Maryland), and Ruoke Yang (SEC)
New Draft Coming Soon!
Abstract
We investigate the relationship between corporate social responsibility (CSR) and stock returns during economic downturns and the underlying economic mechanisms. First, we successfully replicate two influential studies that reach opposite conclusions on this topic and propose several explanations that may reconcile their findings, including differences in CSR scoring, empirical specifications, and adjustments for systematic risk exposures. We find that high-CSR stocks exhibit time-varying factor loadings, particularly a stronger tilt toward the value factor during bad economic times. From the standpoint of cash flow (CF) vs. discount rate (DR) news, we show that CSR returns are largely driven by aggregate DR shocks, highlighting the role of shifts in investor sentiment and preferences. CSR spread portfolio returns are lower in bad times, but increase in response to positive DR shocks. Finally, we analyze flows to socially responsible (SR) mutual funds and find evidence that is fully consistent with the documented return patterns: while SR funds typically face outflows during downturns, these outflows lessen when aggregate DR shocks increase. These findings suggest that investors in general view CSR as a luxury good, but some investors retain trust in high-CSR firms despite challenging market conditions.
Presentations
CEIBS Finance/Accounting Symposium 2025, CICF 2025^, Junior Academics Research Seminars (JARS) in Finance 2025, NYU Stern Summer Climate Finance Conference 2025
Negative Sentiment and Aggregate Retail Trading: Evidence from Mass Shootings
PhD First-Year Summer Paper (Resting)
Abstract
I analyze the role of sentiment in aggregate retail investors’ trading activity. Using mass shootings in the U.S. as exogenous, non-economic, and negative shocks to investor sentiment, I find that retail investors on average net sell stocks of firms headquartered in the states where mass shootings took place in the previous week ("local'' stocks). During the week after mass shootings, local stocks experience around 8% of the sample mean decrease in daily retail share volume order imbalance. Consistent with lower sentiment-driven trading, the retail net divestment from local stocks increases in the number of victims from mass shootings, and is more pronounced following unsolved shootings and shootings with teenage victims. However, such trading behavior does not seem to be rational, as local mass shootings have little impact on local firms' financial and operating performances, as well as local economic conditions. Finally, institutional investors do not react to mass shootings, which suggests that retail investors are more prone to sentiment.
Presentations
AFA Poster Session 2024, Asian Meeting of the Econometric Society in China 2023, Asian FA 2023*, Financial Market and Corporate Governance Conference 2023, FMA 2023, International Conference of the French Finance Association PhD Workshop 2023, SGF PhD Poster Session 2023, World Finance Conference 2023, University of Maryland
* canceled due to visa reasons · ^ presented by coauthors